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Red80
131865.2
358829.4
241238.3
Blue23
198353.9
413114.6
403024.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183890501502002503003508023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
Unranked
65.24.4
68.664.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
1983
Unranked
53.94.0
51.947.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2412
Unranked
38.34.4
49.344.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
4030
Unranked
24.34.0
34.230.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3588
Unranked
29.44.4
50.446.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
4131
Unranked
14.64.0
17.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End