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Red120
292848.9
290318.8
252246.9
Blue109
420522.8
151017.4
408915.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121390100150200250120109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.90.2
46.947.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.1
4205
#13
22.81.0
21.522.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
46.90.2
44.945.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.5
1510
#15
17.41.0
16.117.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2903
#26
18.80.2
16.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
4089
#12
15.31.0
14.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End