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Red22
46548.7
366333.2
40607.1
Blue11
298014.1
430914.5
151017.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454101001502002502211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#10
33.21.9
35.233.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
1510
#15
17.42.6
18.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.71.1
4.02.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
4309
#20
14.51.5
11.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4060
#19
7.11.1
5.44.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
2980
#21
14.12.6
12.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End