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Red85
491849.6
129431.4
298014.1
Blue5
292215.7
46548.7
323821.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88370150200250300855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.3
34.734.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.0
3238
#16
21.53.3
23.320.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
31.40.3
30.530.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
2922
#24
15.73.3
17.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2980
#21
14.10.4
14.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
8.72.0
4.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End