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Red164
403030.9
252246.9
321924.1
Blue171
151017.4
260522.5
307027.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101430150200164171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.93.6
46.650.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
27.49.9
18.628.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
30.93.6
18.822.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2605
#18
22.59.9
16.226.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3219
#11
24.16.0
26.332.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1510
#15
17.49.9
17.627.5
Auto
Teleop
End