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Red7
17784.6
408915.3
290318.8
Blue56
260522.5
46548.7
293034.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3268050100150200250756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2903
#26
18.82.6
12.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
2930
#23
34.00.3
34.033.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4089
#12
15.31.5
13.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
2605
#18
22.50.6
26.125.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1778
#17
4.62.6
11.38.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
8.70.3
2.62.3
Auto
Teleop
End