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Red33
266019.2
298014.1
321924.1
Blue97
366333.2
403030.9
323821.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578701001502003397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3219
#11
24.12.4
32.430.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
3663
#10
33.21.2
40.842.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2660
#28
19.21.4
20.118.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
30.90.7
22.423.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2980
#21
14.12.4
9.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
3238
#16
21.51.2
19.320.5
Auto
Teleop
End