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Red52
430914.5
403030.9
260522.5
Blue78
129431.4
292215.7
408915.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644701001502005278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.5
22.722.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
31.41.4
31.032.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2605
#18
22.50.8
23.522.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
2922
#24
15.72.2
8.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4309
#20
14.50.5
15.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
4089
#12
15.31.4
11.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End