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Red160
292848.9
252246.9
290318.8
Blue116
366333.2
430914.5
307027.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11764050100150200250160116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.90.9
47.047.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
3663
#10
33.20.7
32.333.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
46.90.9
45.045.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
27.40.7
26.627.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2903
#26
18.80.9
16.917.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
4309
#20
14.50.7
13.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End