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Red200
491556.2
407759.8
455928.4
Blue103
307045.1
413120.9
252249.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147111050200250300350200103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.81.0
58.959.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
2522
#20
49.60.2
49.849.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4915
#18
56.21.0
55.256.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
45.10.2
45.345.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4559
#31
28.41.0
27.428.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
4131
#21
20.90.2
21.120.9
Auto
Teleop
End