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Red162
241252.6
326831.5
94845.1
Blue186
491556.2
455928.4
407759.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12713050100150200250162186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#19
52.60.6
52.052.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
59.80.9
55.055.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
948
#4
45.10.6
44.545.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
4915
#18
56.20.9
51.452.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3268
#12
31.50.6
31.031.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
4559
#31
28.40.9
23.624.5
Auto
Teleop
End