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Red82
48847.4
491163.9
125821.4
Blue199
307045.1
252249.6
413120.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910405020025030035082199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.9
64.363.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
2522
#20
49.61.5
47.749.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
488
#22
47.40.9
47.846.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
45.11.5
43.244.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1258
#32
21.40.9
21.821.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
4131
#21
20.91.5
19.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End