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Red115
255752.9
418018.5
304923.1
Blue127
454227.4
292854.9
48847.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75118050100150200250115127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#13
52.91.7
47.148.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
54.90.8
51.752.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3049
#23
23.12.8
13.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.3
488
#22
47.40.8
42.743.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4180
#29
18.52.8
21.123.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
27.40.8
16.817.6
Auto
Teleop
End