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Red125
455928.4
131867.1
468218.4
Blue101
418018.5
326831.5
48847.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9882050150200125101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.11.5
60.662.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.7
488
#22
47.40.8
43.544.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4559
#31
28.41.5
16.317.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
3268
#12
31.50.8
17.318.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4682
#26
18.41.5
18.820.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
4180
#29
18.51.4
23.925.2
Auto
Teleop
End