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Red105
189931.7
125821.4
255752.9
Blue191
491163.9
418018.5
131867.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109139050200250300105191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#13
52.90.4
52.552.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
67.12.8
62.465.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1899
#33
31.70.4
39.038.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.2
63.92.8
46.849.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1258
#32
21.40.4
22.522.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4180
#29
18.54.7
25.330.0
Auto
Teleop
End