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Red29
418018.5
189931.7
468129.8
Blue201
491556.2
49237.9
455928.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019205015020025029201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#33
31.73.5
38.535.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.5
4915
#18
56.25.4
47.452.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4681
#25
29.83.5
31.427.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
492
#8
37.95.4
29.034.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4180
#29
18.55.9
30.024.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
4559
#31
28.45.4
17.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End