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Red53
446123.9
125821.4
413120.9
Blue117
403035.6
468218.4
454227.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6076010015020053117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.8
20.719.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
4030
#11
35.62.2
35.737.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1258
#32
21.40.5
22.021.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
27.42.2
19.021.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4131
#21
20.90.5
19.819.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4682
#26
18.42.2
19.021.2
Auto
Teleop
End