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Red120
451215.1
491556.2
403035.6
Blue145
468218.4
307045.1
292854.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11399050150200250120145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#18
56.20.4
52.753.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
54.92.2
52.254.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4030
#11
35.60.4
37.938.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
45.12.2
28.230.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4512
#16
15.10.4
20.520.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
4682
#26
18.42.2
21.223.3
Auto
Teleop
End