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Red106
468218.4
48847.4
189931.7
Blue196
468129.8
491163.9
407759.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96146050200250300350400106196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#22
47.40.1
44.945.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
63.92.9
58.461.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1899
#33
31.70.1
35.835.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.1
59.82.9
52.755.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4682
#26
18.40.1
23.323.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
4681
#25
29.82.9
27.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End