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Red71
378722.4
491556.2
290318.8
Blue91
48847.4
529510.8
413120.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91790501502002503003504007191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#18
56.20.9
50.249.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
488
#22
47.40.5
45.045.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3787
#17
22.40.9
16.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4131
#21
20.90.5
24.425.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2903
#15
18.80.9
22.221.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
5295
#14
10.80.5
11.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End