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Red51
378118.7
407759.8
468218.4
Blue66
529510.8
290318.8
304923.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1134101502002503005166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.82.5
57.154.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 36.7
3049
#23
23.10.9
19.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3781
#10
18.72.5
21.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2903
#15
18.80.7
21.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4682
#26
18.42.5
22.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
5295
#14
10.80.7
11.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End