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Red125
403035.6
94922.9
131867.1
Blue157
378722.4
94845.1
455928.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14168050100200250300125157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.10.2
70.270.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
948
#4
45.13.9
40.744.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4030
#11
35.60.2
36.436.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
4559
#31
28.43.9
20.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
949
#28
22.90.2
23.122.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3787
#17
22.43.9
18.522.4
Auto
Teleop
End