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Red43
290318.8
326831.5
403035.6
Blue33
455928.4
451215.1
454227.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785201001502004333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4030
#11
35.61.5
34.332.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
4559
#31
28.41.1
17.416.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3268
#12
31.51.5
18.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
27.41.1
17.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2903
#15
18.81.5
20.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
4512
#16
15.11.1
20.619.4
Auto
Teleop
End