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Red145
491141.4
403834.1
48841.8
Blue62
49229.6
252246.7
297623.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119995015020014562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#22
41.80.5
41.341.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
46.70.7
47.446.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.40.5
40.941.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
492
#4
29.60.7
30.229.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4038
#16
34.10.5
33.634.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
2976
#20
23.90.7
24.523.9
Auto
Teleop
End