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Red123
48841.8
403834.1
491141.4
Blue163
491834.7
382620.5
468134.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10486050150200123163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#22
41.80.4
36.436.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
4918
#24
34.71.2
34.435.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.40.4
36.036.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
4681
#17
34.21.2
34.035.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4038
#16
34.10.4
28.729.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
20.51.2
20.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End