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Red176
407741.0
94912.6
491540.9
Blue47
266024.1
189934.4
293031.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91895010015020017647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.5
38.740.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1899
#18
34.40.8
35.134.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40.91.5
38.740.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
31.40.8
32.231.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
949
#23
12.61.5
10.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
2660
#12
24.10.8
24.924.1
Auto
Teleop
End