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Red16
94912.6
241249.9
326814.5
Blue6
297623.9
468315.9
293031.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49510100150166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.92.8
18.715.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
31.43.7
19.615.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3268
#13
14.52.8
17.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
2976
#20
23.93.7
16.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
949
#23
12.62.8
13.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
4683
#28
15.93.7
14.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End