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Red105
293031.4
491834.7
491540.9
Blue20
468315.9
430910.6
291016.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5436010015020010520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.94.5
21.626.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.0
2910
#26
16.91.6
18.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4918
#24
34.74.5
12.817.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
4683
#28
15.91.6
7.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
31.44.5
16.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.8
4309
#29
10.61.6
12.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End