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Red125
491141.4
252246.7
293031.4
Blue5
382620.5
451211.6
368115.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924901502002501255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.73.3
38.041.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
20.54.3
24.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41.43.3
22.826.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.3
3681
#32
15.14.3
16.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
31.43.3
24.828.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
4512
#30
11.64.3
15.411.2
Auto
Teleop
End