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Red41
291016.9
368115.1
292836.9
Blue103
420517.2
241249.9
49229.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6278010015020025030041103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#21
36.91.7
41.239.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
49.92.0
32.334.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2910
#26
16.91.7
16.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
492
#4
29.62.0
29.331.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3681
#32
15.11.7
6.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
4205
#14
17.22.0
13.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End