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Red155
48841.8
368115.1
241249.9
Blue186
252246.7
189934.4
403834.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621010150200250300155186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.95.8
34.340.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
46.76.0
39.845.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
488
#22
41.85.8
28.834.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1899
#18
34.46.0
28.134.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3681
#32
15.15.8
5.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
4038
#16
34.16.0
27.433.4
Auto
Teleop
End