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Red87
491540.9
468221.7
430910.6
Blue107
297623.9
491834.7
368427.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7286020030040087107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.8
40.341.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
4918
#24
34.71.5
30.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4682
#25
21.70.8
25.626.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
3684
#19
27.91.5
32.033.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4309
#29
10.60.8
8.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
2976
#20
23.91.5
21.322.8
Auto
Teleop
End