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Red130
451211.6
48841.8
430910.6
Blue18
454217.0
322325.6
468134.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349905015020025030035013018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#22
41.84.8
31.636.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
4681
#17
34.23.9
37.934.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4512
#30
11.64.8
6.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
3223
#15
25.63.9
29.525.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4309
#29
10.64.8
5.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
4542
#27
17.03.9
21.517.6
Auto
Teleop
End