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Red96
46544.2
241249.9
131853.6
Blue125
48841.8
403834.1
491141.4
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121075015020096125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.2
54.354.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
488
#22
41.80.3
39.339.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.90.2
50.650.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
41.40.3
39.039.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4654
#31
4.20.2
4.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.9
4038
#16
34.10.3
31.631.9
Auto
Teleop
End