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Red170
301858.7
125931.8
70661.6
Blue245
248162.8
220243.5
173254.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15015750100200250300170245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#15
61.60.3
61.361.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
62.81.5
61.362.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
58.70.3
58.458.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1732
#22
54.21.8
52.454.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1259
#12
31.80.3
31.531.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
2202
#49
43.51.5
42.043.5
Auto
Teleop
End