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Red48
17131.6
208150.2
93816.9
Blue121
4845.4
19245.2
509623.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710705015020025030048121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#18
50.22.5
40.638.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
48
#47
45.40.8
48.749.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
171
#42
31.62.5
43.340.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
192
#25
45.20.8
42.443.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
938
#52
16.92.5
15.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
5096
#29
23.58.2
23.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End