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Red101
220243.5
424713.9
251243.3
Blue47
171615.1
203935.1
283017.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11153015020025010147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#49
43.50.0
36.936.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
2039
#48
35.10.7
38.437.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2512
#37
43.30.1
43.743.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.0
2830
#57
17.21.2
13.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4247
#38
13.90.1
21.321.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1716
#33
15.10.9
9.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End