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Red141
16750.2
253046.9
373419.3
Blue95
341835.2
204026.0
171450.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210705015020014195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#11
50.22.3
51.453.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1714
#27
50.30.5
53.953.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
46.93.9
30.834.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
3418
#13
35.20.8
24.924.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3734
#35
19.33.9
12.116.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
2040
#28
26.00.5
25.625.1
Auto
Teleop
End