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Red161
219438.4
247029.3
70661.6
Blue108
251243.3
26938.0
125931.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80115050100150200161108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#15
61.63.8
55.259.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
2512
#37
43.30.1
42.342.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2194
#16
38.43.8
21.625.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
269
#39
38.00.1
38.238.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
29.36.3
8.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1259
#12
31.80.1
28.928.8
Auto
Teleop
End