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Red112
248162.8
16750.2
319726.2
Blue78
70661.6
414340.3
93038.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10112905015020025011278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.3
41.842.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
706
#15
61.62.9
49.947.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
167
#11
50.20.3
46.046.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
4143
#41
40.32.3
43.941.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3197
#31
26.20.4
17.718.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
930
#43
38.83.9
30.927.0
Auto
Teleop
End