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Red107
369225.6
283017.2
465529.7
Blue83
485915.7
308123.3
17131.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4686010015020010783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#26
29.72.7
20.523.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
171
#42
31.60.2
35.435.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3692
#10
25.62.7
26.629.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3081
#23
23.30.3
25.025.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2830
#57
17.24.5
5.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4859
#59
15.70.3
19.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End