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Red162
87649.3
162555.0
219438.4
Blue103
173254.2
338112.0
414340.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11210450150200162103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.04.2
44.448.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1732
#22
54.20.2
53.252.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
876
#7
49.32.5
38.040.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
4143
#41
40.30.1
38.037.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2194
#16
38.42.5
28.831.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.4
3381
#50
12.00.1
14.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End