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Red156
109131.3
514817.1
208150.2
Blue181
248162.8
253046.9
478630.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80121050100150200250156181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#18
50.23.5
44.748.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
62.83.3
55.058.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1091
#19
31.33.5
27.631.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
46.95.2
35.340.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5148
#46
17.15.8
14.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
4786
#40
30.93.3
23.927.3
Auto
Teleop
End