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Red76
453122.8
485915.7
220243.5
Blue92
429628.5
319726.2
509623.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875701001502007692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#49
43.50.3
38.438.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
28.51.5
24.025.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4531
#24
22.80.3
24.724.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
3197
#31
26.21.5
20.822.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4859
#59
15.70.5
19.819.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
5096
#29
23.52.4
17.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End