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Red56
313518.0
338112.0
220243.5
Blue125
173254.2
270532.9
369225.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649305015020025056125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#49
43.50.6
37.636.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
1732
#22
54.23.1
39.542.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3135
#58
18.01.1
18.317.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
2705
#56
32.93.1
29.832.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3381
#50
12.00.8
12.912.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.6
3692
#10
25.62.2
19.021.3
Auto
Teleop
End