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Red141
421234.8
478630.9
70661.6
Blue209
283017.2
87649.3
464638.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13077050100150200250141209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#15
61.61.0
58.059.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
876
#7
49.36.2
43.349.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4212
#54
34.81.0
33.834.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
4646
#30
38.96.2
32.738.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4786
#40
30.91.0
29.930.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
2830
#57
17.28.3
9.017.2
Auto
Teleop
End