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Red136
19245.2
162224.3
219438.4
Blue18
373419.3
424713.9
485915.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11346010015020025013618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#25
45.21.7
43.545.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.9
3734
#35
19.32.6
21.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2194
#16
38.41.7
36.738.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
4859
#59
15.72.6
18.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1622
#21
24.31.7
22.724.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
4247
#38
13.92.8
16.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End