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Red131
191888.1
205461.2
240515.7
Blue116
362052.6
7448.3
400427.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175120050100150200250300350400131116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
88.10.6
88.788.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.5
3620
Unranked
52.60.2
52.852.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2054
Unranked
61.20.6
61.861.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
74
Unranked
48.30.2
48.548.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2405
Unranked
15.70.6
16.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
4004
Unranked
27.20.2
27.427.2
Auto
Teleop
End