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Red205
191888.1
205461.2
240515.7
Blue97
90432.8
207536.8
276749.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16011305020025030035020597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
88.10.9
84.084.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 38.4
2767
Unranked
49.70.4
50.149.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2054
Unranked
61.20.9
57.158.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.4
2075
Unranked
36.80.4
37.036.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2405
Unranked
15.70.9
11.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
904
Unranked
32.80.4
33.032.6
Auto
Teleop
End