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Red132
495637.8
357251.9
247433.8
Blue120
354726.9
295964.8
8537.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130129406080100120140160180200132120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
Unranked
51.90.1
53.253.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
2959
Unranked
64.80.2
65.765.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4956
Unranked
37.80.1
39.239.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
85
Unranked
37.90.2
38.037.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2474
Unranked
33.80.1
35.235.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
3547
Unranked
26.90.2
27.727.5
Auto
Teleop
End